Friday, March 14, 2008

Irish Grand National, Fairyhouse March 24th - The Key Trends

- 8 of the last 9 winners carried less than 10-12 to victory.
- No horse rated higher than 136 has won in the last decade.
- All of the last 10 winners were aged between 7 and 10. 7yos and 8yos have won 7 of the last 10 renewals.
- Of the last 9 winners, all that had completed the course in their most recent start finished in the first six. 7 of that 9 made the frame last time out.
- All the last 10 winners had run in the previous 7 weeks.
- A number of recent winners have had plenty of runs over the course of the season but all have been lightly campaigned since the turn of the year. The last 9 winners have all run 3 or fewer times since January 1st.
- Unexposed handicappers dominate. None of the last 10 winners had more than 8 outings in handicap chases.
- 7 of the last 8 Irish-trained winners of the race had placed form at Fairyhouse at worst.
- Proven stamina is a massive plus. 9 of the last 10 winners had won over 3 miles before winning here while 5 of the nine had won beyond the bare 24 furlongs.

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